Análisis Chad vs Guinea Ecuatorial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.25
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
CHA
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
ANG
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +2 |
| 06 jul. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALG
9%
24%
67%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | +1 |
| 07 jun. 2003 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
NAM
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +2 |
Partidos
Guinea Ecuatorial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2003 |
TOG
2 - 0
EQG
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2003 |
EQG
3 - 1
VCT
62%
20%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2003 |
EQG
1 - 0
TOG
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 jul. 2003 |
EQG
0 - 1
MAR
6%
21%
74%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2003 |
SLE
2 - 0
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |