Análisis Chile vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.31
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 1953 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1953 |
CHI
3 - 2
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
58%
20%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 jul. 1952 |
EGY
5 - 4
CHI
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1952 |
CHI
0 - 3
BRA
38%
21%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1953 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 1
ECU
69%
16%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1953 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 may. 1949 |
ECU
3 - 2
COL
35%
22%
43%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |