Análisis Chile vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
77.2%
Probabilidad gana
3.06
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 2
CHL
30%
21%
49%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 1965 |
COL
2 - 0
CHL
31%
21%
48%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 ago. 1965 |
CHL
7 - 2
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 jul. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARG
33%
25%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 1965 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 2
CHL
30%
21%
49%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 0
COL
54%
20%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 jul. 1965 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
68%
16%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 1963 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
58%
20%
23%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 mar. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 2
ECU
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 91 | 42 | 0 |