Análisis Chile vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
29%
22%
49%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 1969 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 1969 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1969 |
DDR
0 - 1
CHI
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
30%
22%
48%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 1969 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
87%
9%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 1969 |
ECU
0 - 2
URU
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 jun. 1969 |
ECU
4 - 1
COL
56%
20%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 dic. 1966 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1966 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |