Análisis Chile vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.98
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 1972 |
ARG
4 - 3
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 1972 |
HTI
1 - 0
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1972 |
MEX
2 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1971 |
CHI
5 - 0
URU
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1971 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 1972 |
POR
3 - 0
ECU
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1970 |
ECU
0 - 2
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 91 | 34 | +1 |
| 03 ago. 1969 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
28%
22%
51%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 1969 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1969 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
87%
9%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |