Análisis Chile vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 4
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 2
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 3
ECU
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
54%
26%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2009 |
ECU
0 - 0
JAM
65%
22%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2009 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |