Análisis Chile vs Estados Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.42
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
25.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jun. 1950 |
ESP
2 - 0
CHI
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1950 |
ENG
2 - 0
CHI
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1950 |
CHI
2 - 1
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 1950 |
CHI
1 - 5
URU
44%
21%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Estados Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jun. 1950 |
USA
1 - 0
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1950 |
ESP
3 - 1
USA
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 1948 |
USA
3 - 1
ISR
47%
20%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 ago. 1948 |
NIR
5 - 0
USA
44%
20%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 ago. 1948 |
NOR
11 - 0
USA
56%
18%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |