Análisis Chile vs Nueva Zelanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 0
ECU
53%
25%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2005 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2005 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 1
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2006 |
NZL
2 - 1
MAS
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2006 |
NZL
1 - 0
MAS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 jun. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 2004 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 jun. 2004 |
NZL
10 - 0
TAH
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |