Análisis Chile vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2000 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2000 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2000 |
CHI
5 - 2
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 2
SVK
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jun. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRC
59%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 1
PAR
37%
29%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 0
PAR
38%
29%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 0
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |