Análisis Chile vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 3
CHI
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
22%
27%
52%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
4%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |