Análisis Chile vs Venezuela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
73.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 1983 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1983 |
CHI
4 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1983 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 ago. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 0
BRA
15%
24%
62%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1981 |
VEN
0 - 2
ESP
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1981 |
BRA
5 - 0
VEN
95%
4%
1%
|
63 | 94 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1981 |
VEN
1 - 0
BOL
45%
22%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 1981 |
BOL
3 - 0
VEN
66%
17%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |