Análisis Chile vs Venezuela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
86.2%
Probabilidad gana
3.03
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.7%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4%
Probabilidad gana
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jun. 1999 |
CHL
0 - 1
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1999 |
CHL
0 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1999 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1999 |
CHL
3 - 0
CRI
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jun. 1999 |
BRA
7 - 0
VEN
94%
5%
1%
|
65 | 99 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1999 |
PER
3 - 0
VEN
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 jun. 1999 |
VEN
3 - 0
PER
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +2 |
| 15 jun. 1999 |
VEN
3 - 2
ECU
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +2 |
| 19 may. 1999 |
ECU
0 - 2
VEN
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +2 |