Análisis Colombia vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
17.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.79
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
34%
29%
38%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
MEX
40%
27%
33%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 jul. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
USA
2 - 4
BRA
20%
24%
57%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALG
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
25%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2007 |
URU
2 - 2
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |