Análisis Colombia vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.82
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
16.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 1963 |
COL
1 - 0
CRI
27%
22%
52%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1963 |
COL
4 - 5
CRI
27%
22%
50%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 1963 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
58%
20%
23%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1963 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
85%
9%
5%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 1963 |
PRY
3 - 2
COL
80%
12%
8%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 1963 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
58%
20%
23%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 2
ECU
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 91 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 89 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1963 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1963 |
PRY
3 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |