Análisis Costa de Marfil vs Guinea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Costa de Marfil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CIV
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2012 |
MLI
0 - 1
CIV
14%
21%
66%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 0
EQG
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 6
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 0
GUI
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
BFA
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |