Análisis Croacia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
10.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.46
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Croacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
CRO
45%
25%
30%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
IRL
1 - 3
CRO
34%
26%
40%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 3
SWE
54%
24%
22%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
IRL
81%
13%
6%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHN
86%
11%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 1
KOR
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
SRB
86%
11%
3%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |