Repesca Mundial . Final
Global 2-0
Análisis Croacia vs Islandia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
77.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Croacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2013 |
ISL
0 - 0
HRV
11%
18%
71%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2013 |
SCT
2 - 0
HRV
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2013 |
HRV
1 - 2
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 2013 |
KOR
1 - 2
HRV
27%
26%
47%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 1
HRV
19%
24%
57%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Islandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2013 |
ISL
0 - 0
HRV
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
ISL
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2013 |
ISL
2 - 0
CYP
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2013 |
ISL
2 - 1
ALB
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 4
ISL
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |