Repesca Mundial . Final
Global 3-1
Análisis Croacia vs Ucrania
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68%
Probabilidad gana
2.03
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Croacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1997 |
SVN
1 - 3
HRV
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1997 |
DNK
3 - 1
HRV
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1997 |
HRV
3 - 2
BIH
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1997 |
HRV
1 - 1
TUR
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 1997 |
JPN
4 - 3
HRV
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Ucrania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1997 |
ARM
0 - 2
UKR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 jun. 1997 |
UKR
0 - 0
DEU
14%
24%
63%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 1
ARM
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1997 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
93%
6%
2%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |