Análisis Ecuador vs Guatemala
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
14%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2003 |
ESP
4 - 0
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2003 |
ECU
1 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
JAM
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2003 |
GTM
2 - 1
SLV
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2003 |
PER
2 - 1
GTM
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |