Análisis Ecuador vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 1935 |
SLV
4 - 1
ECU
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1929 |
VEN
0 - 0
ECU
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 1934 |
YUG
8 - 4
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1934 |
ESP
3 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1932 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 1931 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 3
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |