Análisis Ecuador vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2008 |
OMA
2 - 0
ECU
33%
28%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2008 |
IRN
0 - 1
ECU
58%
24%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2008 |
ECU
1 - 2
MEX
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2008 |
VEN
3 - 1
ECU
43%
27%
30%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2008 |
BRA
6 - 2
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
79%
15%
6%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |