Análisis Ecuador vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1985 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1985 |
ECU
3 - 1
FIN
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 1985 |
ECU
2 - 3
DDR
21%
28%
51%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1984 |
GTM
1 - 0
ECU
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 1984 |
HND
0 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1984 |
CHI
1 - 0
MEX
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |