Análisis Ecuador vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2012 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2012 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
ECU
1 - 0
COL
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 jun. 2012 |
ARG
4 - 0
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
29%
27%
44%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
CHI
29%
27%
44%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |