Análisis Ecuador vs Colombia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54%
Probabilidad gana
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
26.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 1965 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
68%
16%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1963 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
58%
20%
23%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 mar. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 2
ECU
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 91 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 89 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1963 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 1965 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
68%
16%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1963 |
COL
1 - 0
CRI
27%
22%
52%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 sep. 1963 |
COL
4 - 5
CRI
27%
22%
50%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 1963 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
58%
20%
23%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1963 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
85%
9%
5%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |