Análisis Ecuador vs Colombia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jun. 1973 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
62%
18%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 may. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
ECU
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 may. 1973 |
ECU
0 - 0
BOL
47%
21%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1973 |
BOL
3 - 3
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 jun. 1973 |
COL
0 - 0
URU
21%
22%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 1973 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
62%
18%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1973 |
HTI
2 - 1
COL
66%
17%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 1973 |
COL
0 - 2
DDR
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |