Análisis Ecuador vs Colombia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29.1%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
30%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 0
ECU
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
NED
1 - 0
ECU
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 0
HND
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 2005 |
UGA
2 - 1
ECU
23%
29%
48%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 2005 |
SEN
2 - 1
ECU
36%
30%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
51%
26%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2005 |
URU
3 - 2
COL
50%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2005 |
COL
2 - 3
PAN
86%
11%
4%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |