Análisis Escocia vs Bélgica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 1939 |
SCO
1 - 2
ENG
44%
21%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 1
HUN
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 2
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1938 |
NIR
0 - 2
SCO
33%
22%
44%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1938 |
NED
1 - 3
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Bélgica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 dic. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
46%
20%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1945 |
LUX
4 - 1
BEL
52%
20%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 dic. 1944 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1940 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |