Análisis Escocia vs Gales
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.83
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
6%
17%
77%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1907 |
SCO
3 - 0
INE
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 1907 |
WAL
1 - 0
SCO
38%
24%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 1906 |
SCO
2 - 1
ENG
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Gales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
WAL
6%
17%
77%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1907 |
WAL
1 - 0
SCO
38%
24%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 1907 |
INE
2 - 3
WAL
42%
23%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |