Análisis Escocia vs Gales
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.62
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 1949 |
NIR
2 - 8
SCO
36%
22%
41%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1949 |
SCO
2 - 0
FRA
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1949 |
ENG
1 - 3
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 nov. 1948 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1948 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Gales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 1949 |
WAL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1949 |
SUI
4 - 0
WAL
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 may. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
WAL
57%
20%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 may. 1949 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
55%
19%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1949 |
NIR
0 - 2
WAL
45%
20%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |