Análisis Escocia vs Gales
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1957 |
SCO
3 - 2
SUI
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1957 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
42%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1957 |
ESP
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 may. 1957 |
GER
1 - 3
SCO
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 may. 1957 |
SUI
1 - 2
SCO
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Gales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1957 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
17%
20%
63%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1957 |
WAL
4 - 1
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 19 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1957 |
CSK
2 - 0
WAL
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 may. 1957 |
DDR
2 - 1
WAL
29%
21%
50%
|
72 | 18 | 54 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1957 |
WAL
1 - 0
CSK
46%
22%
31%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |