Análisis Escocia vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 1
HUN
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 2
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1938 |
NIR
0 - 2
SCO
33%
22%
44%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1938 |
NED
1 - 3
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 1938 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1938 |
ENG
7 - 0
NIR
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1938 |
ENG
4 - 0
NOR
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1938 |
WAL
4 - 2
ENG
31%
21%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1938 |
FRA
2 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1938 |
SUI
2 - 1
ENG
27%
20%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | -1 |