Análisis Escocia vs Irlanda del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1946 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 may. 1946 |
SCO
3 - 1
SUI
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1946 |
SCO
2 - 2
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1939 |
SCO
1 - 2
ENG
44%
21%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 1
HUN
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Irlanda del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1946 |
NIR
2 - 7
ENG
22%
20%
58%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1939 |
WAL
3 - 1
NIR
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1938 |
ENG
7 - 0
NIR
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 1938 |
NIR
0 - 2
SCO
33%
22%
44%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1938 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
48%
22%
30%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |