Análisis Escocia vs Nueva Zelanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.2%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 1982 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1982 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
66%
22%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1982 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCO
35%
29%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1982 |
SCO
2 - 1
NED
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 1982 |
ESP
3 - 0
SCO
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
12%
21%
67%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1981 |
JPN
0 - 1
NZL
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 0
NZL
25%
22%
54%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 1981 |
IDN
0 - 0
NZL
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |