Análisis España vs Alemania
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1936 |
ESP
4 - 5
AUT
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1935 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1935 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1935 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
14%
13%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 1935 |
ENG
3 - 0
GER
61%
18%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1935 |
GER
4 - 2
BGR
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1935 |
GER
3 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 1935 |
GER
5 - 0
EST
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |