Análisis España vs Bélgica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.19
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jun. 1948 |
SUI
3 - 3
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
IRL
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 0
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1947 |
IRL
3 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1947 |
POR
4 - 1
ESP
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Bélgica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
39%
21%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1948 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1948 |
BEL
4 - 2
FRA
40%
21%
39%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 abr. 1948 |
SCO
2 - 0
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1948 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |