Análisis España vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.45
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1934 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
40%
24%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1934 |
ESP
9 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1933 |
ESP
13 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 1933 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
51%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 1932 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1931 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 3
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 ago. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 1
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 1930 |
BRA
3 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |