Análisis España vs Bulgaria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1933 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
51%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1931 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1932 |
TUR
2 - 3
BGR
59%
19%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 1932 |
BGR
2 - 0
GRC
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 jun. 1932 |
YUG
2 - 3
BGR
28%
21%
51%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 1932 |
BGR
2 - 0
ROU
44%
22%
35%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 jun. 1932 |
BGR
3 - 5
FRA
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |