Análisis España vs Escocia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.42
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.41
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 2011 |
CZE
0 - 2
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
ESP
6 - 0
LIE
85%
12%
3%
|
99 | 30 | 69 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 2
CHI
74%
18%
8%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 1
SCO
9%
22%
69%
|
89 | 30 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 0
LTU
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
SCO
2 - 2
CZE
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2011 |
SCO
2 - 1
DEN
32%
28%
41%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2011 |
IRL
1 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |