Análisis España vs Estados Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.09
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 1950 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 5
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Estados Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 1948 |
USA
3 - 1
ISR
47%
20%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 1948 |
NIR
5 - 0
USA
44%
20%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 ago. 1948 |
NOR
11 - 0
USA
56%
18%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 ago. 1948 |
ITA
9 - 0
USA
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 jul. 1947 |
CUB
5 - 2
USA
30%
20%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |