Análisis España vs Francia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.59
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 1922 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1922 |
FRA
0 - 4
ESP
44%
23%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1921 |
ESP
3 - 1
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1921 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 1920 |
ESP
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 1922 |
NOR
7 - 0
FRA
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1922 |
FRA
0 - 4
ESP
44%
23%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 1922 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 1921 |
FRA
0 - 5
NED
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 1921 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |