Análisis España vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 may. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 may. 1965 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1964 |
POR
2 - 1
ESP
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 3
AUT
81%
12%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1965 |
WAL
0 - 0
ENG
21%
20%
59%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
ENG
49%
21%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1965 |
BRD
0 - 1
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |