Análisis España vs Irlanda del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.14
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 1963 |
ESP
0 - 0
FRA
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1962 |
ROU
3 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1962 |
ESP
6 - 0
ROU
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Irlanda del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1963 |
NIR
1 - 4
WAL
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1962 |
NIR
2 - 0
POL
56%
20%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 nov. 1962 |
SCO
5 - 1
NIR
76%
15%
10%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1962 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
59%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
NIR
73%
15%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |