Análisis España vs Italia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 1930 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1930 |
ITA
2 - 3
ESP
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 ene. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 may. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 3
ENG
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1931 |
POR
0 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1931 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
37%
24%
40%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1931 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1931 |
ITA
5 - 0
FRA
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1930 |
ITA
2 - 3
ESP
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |