Análisis España vs Italia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 2
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 0
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
58%
24%
18%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1999 |
ITA
1 - 3
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1999 |
BLR
0 - 0
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
97 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1999 |
ITA
2 - 3
DEN
65%
22%
13%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1999 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
22%
30%
49%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |