Análisis España vs Italia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 2
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
40%
25%
34%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2017 |
ESP
4 - 1
ISR
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 nov. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 2
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2017 |
ITA
5 - 0
LIE
86%
12%
2%
|
92 | 29 | 63 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
URU
50%
26%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2017 |
ITA
8 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
92 | 27 | 65 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2017 |
NED
1 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 0
ALB
79%
16%
5%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |