Análisis España vs Nigeria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.3%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.36
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 1998 |
ESP
4 - 1
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1998 |
ESP
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1998 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 1997 |
ESP
3 - 1
FRO
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 59 | 37 | 0 |
Partidos
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 1
NGA
82%
13%
4%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1998 |
YUG
3 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1998 |
GER
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 1998 |
JAM
2 - 2
NGA
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1998 |
IRN
0 - 1
NGA
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |