Análisis España vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
17%
20%
63%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 1
ESP
16%
20%
64%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
GER
55%
21%
24%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2022 |
ESP
7 - 0
CRC
87%
10%
4%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
34%
24%
43%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2022 |
IRL
1 - 2
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
SRB
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2022 |
SVN
2 - 1
NOR
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
33%
26%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |