Análisis España vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.19
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.8%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jun. 1959 |
POL
2 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1959 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1958 |
ESP
6 - 2
NIR
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1958 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1958 |
GER
2 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 1959 |
POL
2 - 3
ROU
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1959 |
POL
2 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 1959 |
POL
7 - 2
ISR
48%
20%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 may. 1959 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 1958 |
IRL
2 - 2
POL
67%
16%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |