Análisis España vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 1980 |
DDR
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1980 |
HUN
2 - 2
ESP
65%
22%
14%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1980 |
ARG
2 - 1
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1980 |
POL
1 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 4
POL
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 1980 |
BOL
0 - 1
POL
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |