Análisis España vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1989 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
32%
28%
39%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1989 |
ESP
4 - 0
MLT
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1989 |
NIR
0 - 2
ESP
27%
29%
44%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1989 |
MLT
0 - 2
ESP
17%
27%
56%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1988 |
ESP
4 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
8%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1989 |
POL
3 - 0
GRC
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1989 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
34%
28%
37%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 1989 |
ENG
3 - 0
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1989 |
SWE
2 - 1
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1989 |
NOR
0 - 3
POL
27%
28%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |